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Sarkar et al. Hepatoma Res 2017;3:79-85                              Hepatoma Research
           DOI: 10.20517/2394-5079.2017.06
                                                                                                  www.hrjournal.net
            Original Article                                                                    Open Access

           MELD score and AST-to-platelet ratio index

           predict long-term survival in patients with

           a small hepatocellular carcinoma following

           non-transplant therapies: a pilot study



           Joy Sarkar , Thomas DeLeon , Linda L. Wong
                                    2
                                                   3
                     1
           1 Tripler Army Medical Center, Surgery, Honolulu, HI 96813, USA.
           2 Department of Medicine, John A. Burns School of Medicine, Honolulu, HI 96813,USA.
           3 Department of Surgery, John A. Burns School of Medicine, Honolulu, HI 96813, USA.
           Correspondence to: Prof. Linda L. Wong, Department of Surgery, John A. Burns School of Medicine, 550 S. Beretania Street, Suite 403, Honolulu, HI
           96813, USA. E-mail: Hepatoma@aol.com

           How to cite this article: Sarkar J, DeLeon T, Wong LL. MELD score and AST-to-platelet ratio index predict long-term survival in patients with a
           small hepatocellular carcinoma following non-transplant therapies: a pilot study. Hepatoma Res 2017;3:79-85.
                                         ABSTRACT
            Article history:              Aim: Liver transplantation (LT) is the most effective treatment for long-term survival from
            Received: 26-02-2017          hepatocellular  carcinoma  (HCC);  however,  insufficient  donors  limit  therapy.  The  authors
            Accepted: 13-04-2017          sought to identify characteristics that predicted long-term survival after non-transplant
            Published: 09-05-2017         therapies in patients with small HCC. Methods: In a database of 1,050 HCC patients, the
                                          authors identified those with single HCC ≤ 3.0 cm, who underwent hepatic resection (HR, n
            Key words:                    = 16), radiofrequency ablation (RFA, n = 55), or LT (n = 23) with 5-year follow-up. Overall
            Hepatocellular carcinoma,     survival (OS) and odds-ratios (OR) for survival after HR/RFA were calculated for MELD score,
            ablation,                     platelet count, creatinine, albumin, AST/platelet ratio index (APRI), international normalized
            liver resection,              ratio, and bilirubin. Results: LT patients had 3- and 5-year OS of 82.6% and 73.9% compared
            transplant                    to HR/RFA patients with 3- and 5-year OS of 40.8% and 33.8%. The strongest predictors of
                                          survival after HR/RFA were MELD < 10 [OR 4.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.85-10.58]
                                          and APRI ≤ 0.5 (OR 4.25, 95% CI 1.63-11.08). HR/RFA patients with both MELD < 10 and
                                          APRI ≤ 0.5 had 3- and 5-year OS of 77.3% and 72.7%. Conclusion: Patients with MELD
                                          < 10 and APRI ≤ 0.5 who undergo HR/RFA have survival approaching LT. Perhaps patients
                                          who meet these criteria can safely undergo non-transplant therapy and donor livers can be
                                          allocated to patients with a greater need.

           INTRODUCTION                                       second leading cause of cancer-related mortality
                                                              with 745,000 deaths. [1,2]  Advanced stage at diagnosis
           Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common   and poor underlying liver function present major
           primary malignancy of the liver. Worldwide, there   challenges to treatment. Potential curative therapies
           were 782,000 new cases in 2012 and HCC is the      for HCC include hepatic resection (HR) and liver

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