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EGF level in HCC patients with one focal lesion was 757.1   invasions, and patient survival. Subjects of our study
           ± 327.8 pic/mL, in those with 2 focal lesions was 873.8   were selected from the Hepatology Clinics, National
           ± 334.7 pic/mL, and in those with multiple focal lesions   Liver Institute, Menoufia University in the period from
           was 775.2 ± 293.9 pic/mL (P < 0.05) [Table 9]. Serum   June 2010 to June 2011. Four groups of patients were
           EGF levels were strongly correlated to the tumor size and   studied: Group I comprised 51 patients with unresectable
           serum AFP levels (using Spearman correlation test, with   HCC (which were further subdivided according to the
           P < 0.05).                                         eligibility for TACE into subgroups Ia and Ib), group II
                                                              comprised 40 chronic hepatitis C patients, and group
           Analysis  of the  receiver  operating  characteristic  (ROC)   III comprised 40 cirrhosis patients. A fourth group of 20
           curve of EGF in HCC prediction [Figure 3] revealed that   healthy control subjects (age and sex-matched), was also
           the area under the curve was 0.93 with 95% confidential   included in the study. HCC patients were followed up for
           interval (CI): 0.89-0.97. Cut-off value of 450 had 74.5%   1 year for evaluation of their 1-year survival rates.
           sensitivity, and specificity of 84%, while cut-off value of
           700 pg/mL had sensitivity of 60.78% and specificity of   In this study, 45% of our patients had a single tumor,
           97%, and cut-off value of 900 had sensitivity 39.22% and   while 17.6% had 2 lesions, and 37.3% had > 3 lesions.
                                                                                                       [16]
           specificity 98% [Table 10].                        Similar results were presented by Shaker et al.  who
                                                              showed that 38.6% of their cohort had more than one
           Regarding EGF levels in HCC group who underwent    hepatic focal lesion. Vascular invasion was found in 23.5%
           TACE (Ia) although EGF levels were higher after TACE   in our HCC patients. These results are not congruous
           than  before,  no statistically  significant difference  was
           found, mean ± SD 759.76 ± 287.88 pic/mL before TACE,
           801.14 ± 276.12 pic/mL after TACE with P < 0.05.

           DISCUSSION
           This case-control study was designed to assess the role of
           EGF as a predictor factor of progression of HCC in terms
           of correlation with tumor criteria: size, number, vascular
           Table 6: Epidermal growth factor serum levels in the four
           studied groups
                     Number of    EGF serum levels    P
                      subjects   (mean ± SD, pg/mL)
            Group I      51         784.49 ± 313.25  < 0.05
            Group II     40        338.64 ± 224.68
            Group III    40         144.69 ± 124.30           Figure 3: ROC curve of epidermal growth factor value in prediction of
            Group IV     20         297.15 ± 175.36           hepatocellular carcinoma development. Diagonal segments are produced by
            Total       151        432.35 ± 350.35            ties. ROC: receiver operating characteristic
           Group I: HCC patients; Group II: chronic hepatitis; Group III: cirrhotic patients;
           Group IV: healthy control; SD: standard deviation; EGF: epidermal growth   Table 9: Epidermal growth factor level in HCC patients
           factor; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma              according to tumor metastases, portal vein thrombosis and
                                                              number of lesions
           Table 7: Pair-wise comparison of epidermal growth factor   Serum level of EGF  EGF serum levels   P
           between individual groups                                               (mean ± SD, pg/mL)
            Groups                                    P        Non-metastatic tumors  769.1 ± 328.4     0.39
            Group I vs. II                           < 0.05    Metastatic tumors      847.5 ± 245.4
            Group I vs. III                          < 0.05    No PVT                772.02 ± 314.89    0.60
            Group I vs. IV                           < 0.05    PVT                   825.5 ± 318.04
            Group II vs. III                         < 0.05    One lesion (n = 23)    757.1 ± 327.8     0.64
            Group II vs. IV                          < 0.05    Two lesions (n = 9)    873.8 ± 334.7
            Group III vs. IV                         0.65      ≥ 3 lesions (n = 19)   775.2 ± 293.9
           Group I: hepatocellular carcinoma patients; Group II: chronic hepatitis; Group   EGF: epidermal growth factor; PVT: portal vein thrombosis; SD: standard
           III: cirrhotic patients; Group IV: healthy control  deviation; EGF: epidermal growth factor; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma

           Table 8: Epidermal growth factor levels in HCC patients   Table 10: Sensitivity and specificity of epidermal growth
           according to different stages of BCLC classification  factor in HCC group
                      n    EGF serum levels (mean ± SD, pg/mL)  P  Studied   Sensitivity   Specificity   PPV  NPV
            BCLC (B)  18         766.05 ± 299.64      0.66     variable         (%)       (%)     (%)    (%)
            BCLC (C)  16         738.06 ± 320.707              EGF at the cut-off   74.5  84     70.37  86.60
            BCLC (D)  17         847.705 ± 328.70              value of 450
            Total     51         784.49 ± 313.25               Cut-off level 700  60.78   97      91.98  82.91
           BCLC: Barcelona-Clinic Liver Cancer; (B): intermediate stage; (C): advanced   Cut-off level 900  39.22  98  90.91  75.97
           stage; (D): end stage; SD: standard deviation; EGF: epidermal growth factor;   EGF: epidermal growth factor; PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative
           HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma                      predictive value; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma

            22                                                   Hepatoma Research | Volume 2 | Issue 1 | January 15, 2016
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