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Page 6 of 10                                                   Chen et al. Hepatoma Res 2018;4:4  I  http://dx.doi.org/10.20517/2394-5079.2017.50

               Table 2. Incidence rates of PLC and other main incident cancer types in HBsAg positive and HBsAg negative sub-cohort with
               calculation of incidence rate ratios and hazard ratios
                Cancer   HBsAg positive     HBsAg negative      IR ratios 95% CI  P value  HR  95% CI  P value
                site     (n = 852)          (n = 786)
                         n        PY      IR   n      PY      IR
                                     (n/10 )             (n/10 )
                                         5
                                                             5
                Liver    187   16,853  1110  14    17,680  79    12.32  7.16-21.21  < 0.0001  14.00  8.13-24.1  < 0.0001
                Lung     11    17,270  64   22     17,679  124   0.46  0.22-0.95  0.0361  0.53  0.26-1.08  0.0815
                Gastric  12    17,242  70   11     17,649  62    1.01  0.44-2.28  0.9878  1.10  0.49-2.49  0.8214
                Colorectal  2  17,230  12   7      17,673  40    0.26  0.05-1.27  0.0963  0.15  0.02-1.20  0.0736
                Pancreatic   5  17,261  29  3      17,695  17    1.54  0.37-6.43  0.5558  1.80  0.43-7.51  0.4231
                Esophagus   1  17,276  6    6      17,690  34    0.15  0.02-1.28  0.0830  0.17  0.02-1.42  0.1022
                Bladder   2    17,272  12   3      17,692  17    0.62  0.10-3.78  0.5944  0.71  0.12-4.27  0.7099
                Others   11    17,251  64   9      17,685  51    1.13  0.47-2.72  0.7894  1.29  0.54-3.12  0.5696
               PLC: primary liver cancer; HBsAg: hepatitis B surface antigen; PY: person years; IR: incidence rate; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio

               those with serum HBV DNA more than 10  copies/mL . This observation was discrepant with results from
                                                   6
                                                             [33]
               Taiwan , but consistent with the results from another cohort study in Qidong .
                                                                                  [35]
                     [34]
               HBV variations and hepatocellular carcinoma
               HBV DNA mutation has been considered to be linked with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) . However,
                                                                                               [36]
               this relationship had never been evaluated in Qidong before we initiated a series of studies concerning HBV
               variation and the sequelae of HBV infection. By using the plasma samples from the members of the QBC, we
               found the A1762T/G1764A double mutation of the HBV basal core promoter (BCP) was frequently detected
                                        [16]
               in HBV infected participants . However, the A1762T/G1764A double mutation alone was not sufficient to
               produce a statistically significant association with PLC. We reported, for the first time, that it was the triple
               or quadruple mutation occurring at nucleotide positions 1762, 1764, 1766 and 1768 that played roles in the
               development of PLC. While the odd ratio of PLC patients with the A1762T/G1764A double mutation alone
               was 0.393 (95% CI: 0.234-0.660), it increased to 1.861 (95% CI: 1.161-2.984) with the triple mutation and to
               4.434 (95% CI: 1.630-12.063) with the quadruple mutation in BCP region . Functional studies revealed
                                                                               [18]
               that the triple mutation could largely abrogate the colony inhibitory activity of HBx, suggesting that the
               enhanced risk of HCC caused by BCP variants could be attributable to the aberrant activity of HBx. These
               results highlight the importance of the cumulative effects of BCP mutations on PLC risk .
                                                                                          [19]
               By sequencing the HBV genome, we identified and validated a series of novel PLC-related mutations. These
               mutations include A2159G, A2189C and G2203W at C gene , A799G, A987G and T1055A at P gene , and
                                                                 [23]
                                                                                                    [24]
               A1479T at X gene . By using capillary gel electrophoresis, we found that it was the short fragment, rather
                              [18]
               than larger fragment, contributing to the association of Pre-S deletion with HCC [26,27] . In addition to the
               above novel findings, we also verified the association of some known HBV mutations, such as HBV pre-S2
                                 [21]
               start codon mutation , C1653T and T1753C , with HCC in Qidong.
                                                     [19]
               Taking advantage of serial plasma samples collected from patients between chronic hepatitis B and
               manifestation of PLC, we were able to report the temporal order of HBV mutation during the course of PLC
               development. While A1762T/G1764A, C1653T, A799G, A987G, T1055A, pre-S deletion could be detected in
               the plasma long before PLC diagnosis, T1753C, C1766T and T1768A mutations appeared only one or two
               years before PLC diagnosis [18,20,23] . These observations provide valuable information for HCC prediction and
               screening when using HBV mutations as the marker.

               Aflatoxin exposure, P53 mutation and PLC
               Aflatoxin’s role in PLC epidemic were also evaluated in Qidong, after an important cohort study in
               Shanghai , by both nested case-control and cohort analysis in the QBC . P53 G249T mutation is an
                                                                               [38]
                       [37]
               indicator of aflatoxin exposure. The high prevalence of this mutation suggests aflatoxin as an important
               etiological factor of HCC in Qidong . P53 mutations were determined initially in surgical resection tissues
                                             [39]
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