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Page 90 Swedberg et al. One Health Implement Res 2023;3:77-96 https://dx.doi.org/10.20517/ohir.2023.02

Table 5. Decision tree estimates for the burden of rabies from January 2020 to December 2022 by municipality
Estimated Estimated
Population Estimated Confirmed Recorded Estimated
Municipality (2020 dog Estimated animal % Estimated human human exposure
rabid dogs
incidence
confirmed exposures
census) population cases deaths deaths
cases 100 k/year
Baco 39,817 6,140 51 7 13.73% 19 0 0 16
[4,050- [14-98] [7.14%- [8-30] [0-0] [6-25]
12,520] 50%]
Bansud 42,671 6,590 59 0 0% 22 1 1 17
[4,390- [27-103] [0%-0%] [15-33] [1-2] [12-26]
13,340]
Bongabong 76,973 12,010 197 2 1.02% 75 6 6 33
[7,810- [139-272] [0.74%- [65-91] [6-9] [28-39]
24,010] 1.44%]
Bulalacao 44,366 6,960 64 0 0% 24 1 1 18
[4,510- [35-106] [0%-0%] [20-32] [1-2] [15-24]
14,100]
Calapan 145,786 22,710 200 2 1% 77 0 0 18
[14,920- [61-366] [0.55%- [26-131] [0-0] [6-30]
45,680] 3.28%]
Gloria 50,496 7,650 91 1 1.1% 35 2 2 23
[5,130- [50-141] [0.71%-2%] [26-47] [2-4] [17-31]
15,720]
Mansalay 59,114 9,070 267 4 1.5% 104 5 5 59
[6,000- [167-382] [1.05%- [70-135] [5-8] [40-76]
18,700] 2.4%]
Naujan 109,587 17,050 129 2 1.55% 50 0 0 15
[11,180- [44-229] [0.87%- [19-78] [0-0] [6-24]
34,140] 4.55%]
Pinamalayan 90,383 13,850 200 1 0.5% 78 5 5 29
[9,220- [134-288] [0.35%- [58-100] [5-8] [21-37]
28,590] 0.75%]
Pola 35,455 5,620 105 1 0.95% 40 4 4 38
[3,620- [62-165] [0.61%- [30-56] [4-6] [28-52]
11,230] 1.61%]
Puerto 41,961 6,560 98 4 4.08% 38 0 0 30
Galera [4,320- [27-187] [2.14%- [13-63] [0-0] [10-50]
12,950] 14.81%]
Roxas 58,849 9,250 158 3 1.9% 60 1 1 34
[5,980- [97-228] [1.32%- [46-74] [1-2] [26-42]
18,530] 3.09%]
San Teodoro 19,121 3,000 24 0 0% 9 0 0 16
[1,950- [3-62] [0%-0%] [2-18] [0-0] [3-31]
6,120]
Socorro 41,585 6,430 12 0 0% 4 0 0 4
[4,200- [2-37] [0%-0%] [1-8] [0-0] [1-6]
13,230]
Victoria 52,175 8,100 20 1 5% 8 0 0 5
[5,280- [6-47] [2.13%- [4-11] [0-0] [3-7]
16,290] 16.75%]
Oriental 908,339 140,990 1,678 28 Avg = 1.67% 646 25 35 Avg = 24
Mindoro

Median values are in bold and 95% prediction intervals are shown in brackets. Human data is from the PHO and animal data is from the RADDL.
PHO: Provincial Health Office; RADDL: Regional Animal Disease Diagnostic Laboratory.

Category III bites received ERIG. By providing PEP only to bite patients with exposure risk, estimated costs
would decrease to $591 USD per death averted.

Upon extrapolating these findings nationwide using NRPCP bite records (> 1.1 million bite patients
presenting to ABTCs annually), we project expenditures surpassing $56.6 million USD on human rabies